KEEPING TABS ON DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY POLLING

National News

By Tim Taylor, Jan. 17, 2020

An online poll by Reuters News Service and Ipsos research firm on January 16th shows Senator Bernie Sanders (with 20%) just ahead of former Vice President Joe Biden (19%) for the lead in the 2020 Democratic Primary, among registered voters.  The same poll shows 12% supporting Senator Elizabeth Warren, 9% backing former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg and 6% supporting former South Bend, Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg.  The poll also showed that around one in five potential primary voters were undecided.

According to three recent polls, most of the leading Democratic candidates hold narrow leads over President Donald Trump in the key states of Florida, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

A poll by Florida Atlantic University conducted from Jan. 9-12 determined that former Biden edged out Trump 51.4%-48.6% in a hypothetical matchup.  Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., performed even better, beating the president 52.9%-47.1%. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts led Trump by less than 2 percentage points, 50.8%-49.2%. And the poll found former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg in a 50%-50% tie with the president. Biden held a strong lead over the rest of the Democratic field in Florida as the choice of 41.5% of Democratic primary voters there.

A new poll in Michigan conducted by EPIC-MRA, a survey research firm, from Jan. 9-12 shows all of the top Democratic candidates leading Trump.  According to the poll, Biden is favored over Trump 50%-44%, Sanders led Trump 50%-45%, and Warren was ahead 48%-45%.  Buttigieg led 47%-43% and Bloomberg was ahead of Trump 49%-47%.

In Wisconsin, a poll from Marquette University Law School, conducted from Jan. 8-12, found Biden leading Trump 49%-45% and Sanders with a 47%-46% lead.  Trump led Warren in 48%-45% and Buttigieg 46%-44%.

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